Sábado, 15 de Março de 2008
Crónica de uma morte anunciada (1)

Só para estragar o Sábado, e só para os mais distraídos: é oficial, estamos num "financial meltdown".

Martin Feldstein: "The situation is very bad, the situation is getting worse, and the risks are that it could get very bad"

Paul Krugman: "I used to think that the major issues facing the next president would be how to get out of Iraq and what to do about health care. At this point, however, I suspect that the biggest problem for the next administration will be figuring out which parts of the financial system to bail out, how to pay the cleanup bills and how to explain what it’s doing to an angry public."

Nouriel Roubini: "this is another case where profits are privatized and losses are socialized"

Martin Wolff: "a rising auction of scary scenarios"

publicado por Vasco Carvalho às 20:33
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De A. Cabral a 17 de Março de 2008 às 22:43
quem e' o Nouriel Roubini...

De Vasco Carvalho a 18 de Março de 2008 às 04:49
Nouriel Roubini e' professor na NYU-Stern, area de Macroeconomia internacional, muito Harvard School (PhD 88). Dos blogues/paginas conhecidas de academicos e' o que evoluiu mais para um estilo mais consultancy. Muito envolvido nos palcos de discussao internacionais estilo Davos.

Por exemplo:

From the WSJ Blog

BearBlog: Goldilocks and the Three Ugly Bears

BearBlog takes a look at what Davos attendees say is in store for the global economy — and what they said last year.

Last year, Nouriel Roubini was the lone pessimist on Davos’ five-person opening economics panel. His colleagues predicted the world economy would continue to grow strongly without overheating, a rosy scenario economists dubbed “Goldilocks.” Mr. Roubini, chairman of Roubini Global Economics and a New York University economics professor, demurred. “Goldilocks is threatened by three ugly bears,” he said, predicting a subprime meltdown, an end to cheap credit and rising oil prices would bring U.S. consumer spending to a halt. At the time, Mr. Roubini’s “ugly bears” provoked more laughter than concern. But Goldilocks has already met two of those bears and signs are mounting that the third — in the form of a sharp falloff in U.S. consumer spending — could show up soon. “Sometimes people say about me that even a broken clock can be right twice a day,” says Mr. Roubini, who contends his habitually gloomy outlook has been, over the years, more nuanced than he’s given credit for.

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